Senate Results By Congressional DistrictI’d heard a rumor on the radio that Barney Frank’s district actually voted for Brown. So I looked around online, and I couldn’t find any breakdown of how the election went by congressional district. So I went ahead and did my best to pull the numbers together for myself. Starting with the election results posted at the Boston Globe, I tabulated the results by congressional district. There are four municipalities that are split into multiple congressional districts. They are: Boston, Fall River, Hanson and Wayland. I was unable to find published results that were broken down by town wards and precincts, so for Boston and Fall River I split the results in 2, as they looked to be roughly evenly divided, and for the other two I split by the number of precincts in each district, one split into thirds and the other into quarters. I’ve published the spreadsheet here (too big for google docs apparently). So the results I came up with are presented below. I’ve highlighted in red any precinct which Brown won. In my mind, we ought to have strong Republicans running in each of the congressional districts in which Brown ran, and probably even in the 9th district, which was lost by 1%.  Apparently, the congressmen are worried. So we should feel confident. Tags: Scott Brown, Senate Race |
||
5 Responses to “Senate Results By Congressional District”
January 21st, 2010 at 12:09 pm
I have a sneaking suspicion that Brown’s victory may turn out to help that Dems in the 2010 elections, mainly by smacking them in the face with what the public really wants in time for them to change strategy. I don’t have enough faith that they will take the hint to bet money on it, but my gut thinks they will.
January 21st, 2010 at 2:06 pm
I am surprised by the margin in the 1st district, considering where that is and that Olver is hardcore left as it gets and had no problem getting and keeping the seat handily. Delahunt’s result is fascinating. At the time he “won,” my impression, which may have been wrong, was that it was razor thin, the other guy won, and he more or less Frankened it long before Franken could have imagined becoming a verb. IIRC his was the model consulted by the Gore folks in 2000. I keep forgetting Delahunt exists until I hear his name, and when I do, fairly or not, my association is one of illegitimacy. If not to a fraction of the degree of Franken. How must that be to live with knowing you got in that way, which he has to, even if he wasn’t party to the creative measures. But I digress.
January 21st, 2010 at 4:49 pm
There looks like there might be something fishy with the numbers in the 8th District. It has far, far fewer votes than all the other districts and since all the congressional districts must have roughly the same number of people, that would imply a much, much lower turnout. I do not believe that was the case, although I suppose a large number of Capuano supporters could have stayed home in his district.
January 21st, 2010 at 7:12 pm
I noticed that as well. The 8th and 9th districts share the city of Boston, so it could be the way the city was split. I split Boston evenly between the two districts, and that probably isn’t completely accurate.
January 22nd, 2010 at 8:27 am
Rob,
I’m pretty sure MA-9 (Lynch), which is my district, only includes the precincts of South Boston. So most – probably more than 2/3 – of the City of Boston would be in Capuano’s district. Chances are therefore that Scott won MA-9, though probably narrowly (52/48, sort of).
If Boston ever gets around to releasing their precinct data I’m pretty sure that’s what you’d find. Great analysis, by the way, and thanks.
Leave a Reply